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The early college football win totals are starting to be released. Where’s the value? Where are the best bets?
– Contact/Follow@ColFootballNews& @PeteFiutak
The college football win totals are starting to be released – at least the early versions. Where are the values for each team? Which ones appear to be off?
Caesars Sportsbook and BetMGM have released every college football team’s win total, line, and odds to win the conference.
It seems like five years ago, but back in early March we put together our annual piece trying to predict what the early lines would be.
One key note, below are NOT our predictions for each team. Those will come this summer when we make a call. These are the projections of where we thought the win total lines were going to be set, followed by the Caesars line, and followed by the BetMGM conference championship odds.
Also, this is all based on the regular season only – bowl games and conference championships don’t count.
Future Win Totals, Projection
ACC | AAC | Big Ten | Big 12 | C-USA
IND | MAC | M-West | Pac-12 | SEC | Sun Belt
CFN in 60: College Football Key Team Win Totals
ACC Future Win Total Projections
ATLANTIC
Boston College
2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 5
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 5
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: +15000
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 6.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 6
– Schedule Analysis
Clemson
2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 11
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 11.5
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: -625
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 10.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 12
– Schedule Analysis
Florida State
2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 6.5
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 7.5
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: +2500
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 7.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 6
– Schedule Analysis
Louisville
2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 7
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 7.5
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: +3500
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 6
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 7
– Schedule Analysis
NC State
2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 7.5
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 4.5
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: +8000
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 8.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 4
– Schedule Analysis
Syracuse
2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 6.5
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 5.5
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: +8000
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 8.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 5
– Schedule Analysis
Wake Forest
2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 6.5
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 7
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: +5000
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 5.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 8
– Schedule Analysis
COASTAL
Duke
2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 6
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 5.5
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: +8000
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 6.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 5
– Schedule Analysis
Georgia Tech
2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 4
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 3
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: +25000
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 6.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 3
– Schedule Analysis
Miami
2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 7.5
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 9
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: +800
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 9
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 6
– Schedule Analysis
North Carolina
Win Total For Mac Os
2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 6.5
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 8.5
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: +1400
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 5.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 6
– Schedule Analysis
Pitt
2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 7
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 6.5
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: +5000
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 6
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 7
– Schedule Analysis
Virginia
2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 8
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 6.5
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: +2500
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 8
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 9
– Schedule Analysis
Virginia Tech
2020 CFN Future Win Total Projection: 8
2020 Caesars Sportsbook Win Total: 8
2020 Bet at BetMGM Odds To Win Conference: +3000
2019 CFN Spring Win Total Projection: 8.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 8
– Schedule Analysis
Future Win Totals, Projection
ACC | AAC | Big Ten | Big 12 | C-USA
IND | MAC | M-West | Pac-12 | SEC | Sun Belt
NEXT: American Athletic Conference Future Win Totals
Spring football is just getting going, the transfer portal is still a factor, and we’re still several months away from the start of the college football season, but where should Vegas be setting the early win projections for every team?
– Contact/Follow@ColFootballNews& @PeteFiutak
The line doesn’t lie.
With a whole lot of factors still to be figured out – how the depth charts will shake out, which new players will rise up, where are the key injuries, etc. – where should the win total bar be set for every college football team?
The idea is to get it as close to the pin as possible, set the line for the market, and then let the investment public make the call.
Win Total For Mac Download
Returning talent, schedules, when the big games come, here’s where the oddsmakers should be setting the win total lines. Once they’re released for real, then it’s about trying to find where the discrepancies are and where the value might be.
One note, the win total line projections are based on the regular season only – bowl games and conference championships don’t count.
As we do this, two things to note.
1) The 3 Key Games are NOT the biggest games on each team’s schedule – these are the 50/50 games on the slate that could go either way. Of course giant rivalry battles are the ones that truly matter, but for the most part, the Key Games are going to be the ones everyone has to figure out to get the right totals.
2) These are NOT our predictions for each team. Those will come this summer when we make a call. These are the projections of where we think the win total lines are going to be set.
Future Win Total Team Projections
ACC | AAC | Big Ten | Big 12 | C-USA
IND | MAC | M-West | Pac-12 | SEC | Sun Belt
ACC Future Win Total Projections
ATLANTIC
Boston College
2020 Future Win Total Projection: 5
2019 Spring Win Total Projection: 6.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 6
3 Key Games: 1) at Kansas, Sept. 19, 2) Syracuse, Sept. 4, 3) at Wake Forest, Nov. 28
– Schedule Analysis
Clemson
2020 Future Win Total Projection: 11
2019 Spring Win Total Projection: 10.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 12
3 Key Games: 1) at Notre Dame, Nov. 7, 2) at Florida State, Oct. 10, 3) South Carolina, Nov. 28
– Schedule Analysis
Florida State
2020 Future Win Total Projection: 6.5
2019 Spring Win Total Projection: 7.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 6
3 Key Games: 1) at Miami, Nov. 7, 2) at Boise State, Sept. 19, 3) at Louisville, Oct. 24
– Schedule Analysis
Louisville
2020 Future Win Total Projection: 7
2019 Spring Win Total Projection: 6
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 7
3 Key Games: 1) NC State, Sept. 3, 2) Florida State, Oct. 24, 3) at Syracuse, Oct. 3
– Schedule Analysis
NC State
2020 Future Win Total Projection: 7.5
2019 Spring Win Total Projection: 8.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 4
3 Key Games: 1) at Syracuse, Nov. 14, 2) at North Carolina, Nov. 27, 3) Mississippi State, Sept. 12
– Schedule Analysis
Syracuse
2020 Future Win Total Projection: 6.5
2019 Spring Win Total Projection: 8.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 5
3 Key Games: 1) at Pitt, Nov. 28, 2) at Boston College, Sept. 4, 3) at Wake Forest, Nov. 7
– Schedule Analysis
Wake Forest
2020 Future Win Total Projection: 6.5
2019 Spring Win Total Projection: 5.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 8
3 Key Games: 1) Appalachian State, Sept. 11, 2) at Duke, Oct. 3, 3) Boston College, Nov. 28
– Schedule Analysis
COASTAL
Duke
2020 Future Win Total Projection: 6
2019 Spring Win Total Projection: 6.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 5
3 Key Games: 1) at Georgia Tech, Nov. 7, 2) Wake Forest, Oct. 3, 3) North Carolina, Oct. 17
– Schedule Analysis
Georgia Tech
2020 Future Win Total Projection: 4
2019 Spring Win Total Projection: 6.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 3
3 Key Games: 1) Duke, Nov. 7, 2) at Syracuse, Oct. 31, 3) Miami, Nov. 21
– Schedule Analysis
Miami
2020 Future Win Total Projection: 7.5
2019 Spring Win Total Projection: 9
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 6
3 Key Games: 1) North Carolina, Oct. 24, 2) Florida State, Nov. 7, 3) at Virginia, Oct. 31
– Schedule Analysis
North Carolina
2020 Future Win Total Projection: 6.5
2019 Spring Win Total Projection: 5.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 6
3 Key Games: 1) at Miami, Oct. 24, 2) NC State, Nov. 27, 3) Virginia Tech, Oct. 10
– Schedule Analysis
Win Total For Mac High Sierra
Pitt
Win Total For Mac Catalina
2020 Future Win Total Projection: 7
2019 Spring Win Total Projection: 6
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 7
3 Key Games: 1) Virginia Tech, Nov. 6, 2) at North Carolina, Nov. 14, 3) at Marshall, Sept. 12
– Schedule Analysis
Virginia
2020 Future Win Total Projection: 8
2019 Spring Win Total Projection: 8
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 9
3 Key Games: 1) at Virginia Tech, Nov. 28, 2) Miami, Oct. 31, 3) Louisville, Nov. 7
– Schedule Analysis
Virginia Tech
2020 Future Win Total Projection: 8
2019 Spring Win Total Projection: 8.5
2019 Regular Season Win Total: 8
3 Key Games: 1) Penn State, Sept. 12, 2) at Louisville, Oct. 31, 3) Virginia, Nov. 28
– Schedule Analysis
Future Win Total Team Projections
ACC | AAC | Big Ten | Big 12 | C-USA
IND | MAC | M-West | Pac-12 | SEC | Sun Belt
NEXT: American Athletic Conference Future Win Totals